Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Bergman H.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between IFK Lulea and Bergnasets AIK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and IFK Lulea come out ahead of Bergnasets AIK on wins alone.
- Win probability leans IFK Lulea's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 19%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | IFK Lulea | Bergnasets AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.04 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs IFK Lulea
2:2
May 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Bergnasets AIK
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs IFK Lulea
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Bergnasets AIK
2:3
Sep 30, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs IFK Lulea
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
IFK Lulea Compare
Top Goalscorer Bergman H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02
Bergnasets AIK Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
IFK Lulea 85 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
IFK Lulea Bergnasets AIK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
IFK Lulea scored in 85% of their last 33 games.
Bergnasets AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: IFK Lulea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
IFK Lulea VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
IFK Lulea
(Home) 19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1 Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0 IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2 IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1 Taftea IK
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1 IFK Lulea
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19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1 Lucksta IF
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1 Taftea IK
22 Aug
IFK Lulea
1 : 3 Kubikenborgs
12 Aug
IFK Lulea
0 : 1 Boden
01 Aug
IFK Lulea
4 : 3 IFK Ostersund
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Bergnasets AIK
(Away) 15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0 Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4 Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2 Lucksta IF
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11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0 Bergnasets AIK
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4 Bergnasets AIK
15 Sept
Boden City
3 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
03 Sept
Boden
2 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
17 Aug
Friska Viljor
5 : 2 Bergnasets AIK
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pitea | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Skelleftea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24:16 | 23 |
| 3 | IFK Lulea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Bergnasets AIK | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Boden | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Kiruna | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 7 | Boden City | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Ostersund | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 39:18 | 28 |
| 2 | Umea FC Akademi | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32:19 | 24 |
| 3 | Kubikenborgs | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Gottne IF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 24:25 | 15 |
| 6 | Lucksta IF | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 7 | Taftea IK | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
