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IFK Lulea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Amine Hejai S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Ring E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Lulea and Boden finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
IFK Lulea
20%
Draws
46%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Boden haven't matched IFK Lulea's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 16%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea Boden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
0:1
Jun 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:4
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
May 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 31 / 100
Boden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Boden conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

IFK Lulea has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS Boden
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Lulea

(Home)
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
22 Aug
IFK Lulea
1 : 3
Kubikenborgs
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
12 Aug
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

Boden

(Away)
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2
Gottne IF
12 Aug
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)