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Stadium Background

IFK Lulea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Lulea play Boden in the Division 2 - Norrland. It looks like a close match. Recently, IFK Lulea averaged 3 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Boden averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, IFK Lulea won 2, Boden won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 22, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for IFK Lulea and 1.31 for Boden. This points to a IFK Lulea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
IFK Lulea
17%
Draws
13%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Boden.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for IFK Lulea.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norrland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 18%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea Boden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 3 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:4
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
May 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
0:2
Jun 26, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 67 / 100
Boden 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea Boden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Boden let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

IFK Lulea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS Boden
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329