Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nordell W.
15' Event
Nordell W.
20' Event
Nordell W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Lulea and IFK Umea finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IFK Lulea
15%
Draws
34%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Lulea come out ahead of IFK Umea on wins alone.
  • IFK Lulea are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IFK Lulea have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 17%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea IFK Umea
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 18 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 2.24 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
6:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Aug 17, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
May 5, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
3:1
Oct 13, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordell W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brannstrom J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 36 / 100
IFK Umea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

IFK Umea has conceded goals in 100% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: IFK Umea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS IFK Umea
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Lulea

(Home)
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
12 Aug
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Boden
08 Aug
Gottne IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
01 Aug
IFK Lulea
4 : 3
IFK Ostersund
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 7

IFK Umea

(Away)
15 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 2
Storfors AIK
09 Aug
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Fransta IK
27 Jun
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Storfors AIK
15 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 3
IFK Umea
06 Jun
Skelleftea
3 : 0
IFK Umea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)