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IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ring E.
82' Event
Ogren I.
86' Event
Drugge V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Lulea and Umea FC Akademi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
IFK Lulea
15%
Draws
42%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Umea FC Akademi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Lulea here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogren I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 10 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea Umea FC Akademi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Umea FC Akademi has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

IFK Lulea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS Umea FC Akademi
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Lulea

(Home)
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
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Umea FC Akademi

(Away)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)