Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Malmo vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
IFK Malmo Logo

IFK Malmo

2 - 4
FT
Simrishamn Logo

Simrishamn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Simrishamn in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simrishamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
IFK Malmo
30%
Draws
23%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IFK Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Simrishamn lately — more wins on the board than IFK Malmo.
  • Win probability leans IFK Malmo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Malmo Simrishamn
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs Simrishamn
2:4
Apr 30, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs IFK Malmo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Malmo 58 / 100
Simrishamn 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Malmo Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simrishamn let in goals in 100% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

IFK Malmo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Simrishamn has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Simrishamn
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Malmo

(Home)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)