Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Malmo vs VMA

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
IFK Malmo Logo

IFK Malmo

3 - 4
FT
VMA Logo

VMA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between IFK Malmo and VMA finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VMA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
IFK Malmo
20%
Draws
48%
VMA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VMA come out ahead of IFK Malmo on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on IFK Malmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 11%
VMA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Malmo VMA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.37 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs IFK Malmo
1:0
May 20, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs VMA
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Malmo 65 / 100
VMA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Malmo VMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: VMA conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: IFK Malmo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: VMA has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Malmo VS VMA
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Malmo

(Home)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

VMA

(Away)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)