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IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund Logo

IFK Ostersund

4 - 2
FT
Lucksta IF Logo

Lucksta IF

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Haggman I.
47' Event
Olsson J.
54' Event
Kindberg P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Ostersund and Lucksta IF finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
IFK Ostersund
20%
Draws
23%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucksta IF haven't matched IFK Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Model gives IFK Ostersund a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IFK Ostersund have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 16%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Lucksta IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
1:0
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:4
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:8
Apr 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Haggman I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Turay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 84 / 100
Lucksta IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Lucksta IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IFK Ostersund scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lucksta IF let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

IFK Ostersund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Lucksta IF
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Ostersund

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

Lucksta IF

(Away)
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
1 : 2
Taftea IK
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
05 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 1
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)