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IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Haggman I.
47' Event
Olsson J.
54' Event
Kindberg P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Ostersund and Lucksta IF finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
IFK Ostersund
17%
Draws
13%
Lucksta IF
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lucksta IF haven't matched IFK Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Model gives IFK Ostersund a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IFK Ostersund have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Lucksta IF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:4
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:8
Apr 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:1
Sep 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Haggman I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Turay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 65 / 100
Lucksta IF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Lucksta IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Solid form: IFK Ostersund remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

IFK Ostersund scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Lucksta IF
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329