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IFK Skovde vs Lidkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Södermalms IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Skovde play Lidkoping in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, IFK Skovde averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Lidkoping averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, IFK Skovde won 1, Lidkoping won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 25, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for IFK Skovde and 1.06 for Lidkoping. This points to a IFK Skovde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
IFK Skovde
29%
Draws
35%
Lidkoping
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Skovde picked up more points recently compared to Lidkoping.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 22%
Lidkoping Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Skovde Lidkoping
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Lidkoping
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs IFK Skovde
3:3
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs IFK Skovde
0:1
Apr 26, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Lidkoping
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Lidkoping vs IFK Skovde
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Klebe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Lidkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdiqaadir O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Skovde 37 / 100
Lidkoping 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Skovde Lidkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IFK Skovde or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IFK Skovde attacking → ← attacking Lidkoping

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Skovde scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Lidkoping let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

IFK Skovde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lidkoping lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 40
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408