Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Skovde vs Vanersborgs IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Södermalms IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Skovde play Vanersborgs IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. IFK Skovde are favorites here. Recently, IFK Skovde averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Vanersborgs IF averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, IFK Skovde won 3, Vanersborgs IF won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for IFK Skovde and 0.94 for Vanersborgs IF. This points to a IFK Skovde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
IFK Skovde
15%
Draws
27%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • IFK Skovde picked up more points recently compared to Vanersborgs IF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 24%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Skovde Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Vanersborgs IF
6:2
Aug 2, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Vanersborgs IF
3:1
Mar 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs IFK Skovde
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdalrahman A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korpas M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Vanersborgs IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattsson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banous S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Skovde 57 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Skovde Vanersborgs IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Skovde Win (1)
Secondary Pick IFK Skovde & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IFK Skovde attacking → ← attacking Vanersborgs IF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Skovde scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Vanersborgs IF let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

IFK Skovde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 25
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408