Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Umea vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
IFK Umea
6%
Draws
90%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boden lately — more wins on the board than IFK Umea.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Boden taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Boden Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Boden
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
3:1
May 21, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
Boden 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Boden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

IFK Umea found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

IFK Umea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Boden
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329