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IFK Umea vs Boden Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bello M.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
IFK Umea
15%
Draws
64%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boden lately — more wins on the board than IFK Umea.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Boden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
2:0
Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Umea
3:1
May 21, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Boden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 30 / 100
Boden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Boden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Umea's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Boden conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Boden's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Boden
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
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Boden

(Away)
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)