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Stadium Background

IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ring E.
56' Event
Soini L.
63' Event
Fahlgren Vestin A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Umea and IFK Lulea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
IFK Umea
6%
Draws
90%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors IFK Lulea here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea IFK Lulea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.63 3
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
6:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Aug 17, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
May 5, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
3:1
Oct 13, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Fahlgren Vestin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea IFK Lulea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

IFK Umea's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: IFK Umea stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS IFK Lulea
0.63 Goals Scored 3
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329