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IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ring E.
56' Event
Soini L.
63' Event
Fahlgren Vestin A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Umea and IFK Lulea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
IFK Umea
15%
Draws
78%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Lulea here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea IFK Lulea
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.86 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
6:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Aug 17, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs IFK Lulea
1:2
May 5, 2019 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
3:1
Oct 13, 2018 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs IFK Umea
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Fahlgren Vestin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ring E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soini L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

IFK Umea's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

IFK Lulea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: IFK Umea stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS IFK Lulea
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
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IFK Lulea

(Away)
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)