Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Umea vs Kiruna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Berg L.
75' Event
Edlund H.
79' Event
Edlund H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with IFK Umea advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
IFK Umea
30%
Draws
58%
Kiruna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kiruna come out ahead of IFK Umea on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kiruna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Kiruna arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IFK Umea, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Kiruna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.86 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs IFK Umea
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Kiruna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Edlund H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
Kiruna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Kiruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Umea scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Kiruna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

IFK Umea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
26 Aug
IFK Umea
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
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Kiruna

(Away)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kiruna 2
IFK Umea 3