Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bjornvik J.
26' Event
Sjolund J.
56' Event
Asencio P.

AI Match Summary

IFK Umea in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Umea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
IFK Umea
39%
Draws
30%
Storfors AIK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Storfors AIK lately — more wins on the board than IFK Umea.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Storfors AIK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Storfors AIK
2:1
May 17, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs IFK Umea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornvik J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sjolund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Asencio P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 30 / 100
Storfors AIK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Storfors AIK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Storfors AIK has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

IFK Umea found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Storfors AIK's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Storfors AIK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329