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Iftixor vs Neftchi Fargona

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iftixor play Neftchi Fargona in the Pro Liga 2019. Neftchi Fargona are favorites here. Recently, Iftixor averaged 0.57 goals scored and 4.2 conceded. Neftchi Fargona averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Iftixor won 0, Neftchi Fargona won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 21, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Iftixor and 1.30 for Neftchi Fargona. This points to a Neftchi Fargona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Iftixor
15%
Draws
76%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftchi Fargona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iftixor picked up more points recently compared to Neftchi Fargona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Iftixor Clean Sheet 19%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iftixor Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 1 30
Draws 2 4
Losses 27 6
Goals Scored 0.57 1.93
Goals Conceded 4.2 0.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Iftixor
3:0
Sep 4, 2019 Pro Liga
Iftixor vs Neftchi Fargona
1:3
Jun 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Neftchi Fargona vs Iftixor
2:0
Apr 24, 2019 Pro Liga
Iftixor vs Neftchi Fargona
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iftixor 12 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 72 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iftixor Neftchi Fargona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftchi Fargona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Neftchi Fargona & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iftixor attacking → ← attacking Neftchi Fargona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iftixor scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 45% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Iftixor went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Neftchi Fargona lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 94
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185