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Igaci vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Igaci advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Igaci
20%
Draws
80%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Igaci haven't matched Guarany Alagoano's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Guarany Alagoano taking it.
  • Guarany Alagoano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarany Alagoano, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Igaci Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igaci Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.81 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Alagoano 2
Guarany Alagoano vs Igaci
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Alagoano 2
Igaci vs Guarany Alagoano
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Alagoano 2
Igaci vs Guarany Alagoano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igaci 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igaci Guarany Alagoano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igaci found the back of the net in 31% of recent matches (26 games).

Guarany Alagoano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Difficult form: Guarany Alagoano registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Igaci VS Guarany Alagoano
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igaci

(Home)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
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Guarany Alagoano

(Away)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zumbi 1
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 0
Guarany Alagoano 0
Igaci 1
Final
Zumbi 0
Igaci 1