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Igaci vs SC Penedense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2025 Estádio Municipal Zequinha Barbosa, Igaci
Sun, Feb 2, 2025
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Igaci host SC Penedense in the Alagoano 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Igaci have averaged 0.81 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against SC Penedense's 0.56 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor SC Penedense slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 0.86, favoring SC Penedense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Igaci
15%
Draws
85%
SC Penedense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Penedense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Igaci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SC Penedense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Igaci Clean Sheet 20%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igaci SC Penedense
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.81 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Igaci
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Alagoano
Igaci vs SC Penedense
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igaci 10 / 100
SC Penedense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igaci SC Penedense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Penedense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Penedense let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SC Penedense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Igaci scored in 31% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Penedense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Igaci

(Home)
12 Mar
Igaci
0 : 3
CRB
01 Mar
SC Penedense
3 : 0
Igaci
19 Feb
Igaci
0 : 3
Coruripe
12 Feb
Zumbi
3 : 0
Igaci
08 Feb
Murici
3 : 0
Igaci
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SC Penedense

(Away)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
2 CSA 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
3 ASA 7 3 4 0 11:1 13
4 CRB 7 3 3 1 17:6 12
5 Coruripe 7 1 5 1 6:8 8
6 Murici 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
7 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
8 Igaci 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2025 (Play Offs)