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Iganga United vs Bright Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Iganga United Logo

Iganga United

1 - 1
FT
Bright Stars Logo

Bright Stars

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Iganga United and Bright Stars finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Iganga United
20%
Draws
23%
Bright Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Iganga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Iganga United taking it.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 20%
Bright Stars Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Bright Stars
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Bright Stars
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Big League
Bright Stars vs Iganga United
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 85 / 100
Bright Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Bright Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bright Stars has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Iganga United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bright Stars registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iganga United VS Bright Stars
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iganga United

(Home)
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
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Bright Stars

(Away)
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Wakiso Giants
1 : 4
Bright Stars
17 May
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Ntugasaze
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Bright Stars
0 : 1
Blacks Power
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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