Sport Picks

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Iganga United vs Bunyaruguru

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iganga United play Bunyaruguru in the Big League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iganga United averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Bunyaruguru averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Iganga United won 1, Bunyaruguru won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Iganga United and 1.31 for Bunyaruguru. This points to a Bunyaruguru double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Iganga United
20%
Draws
42%
Bunyaruguru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bunyaruguru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Iganga United picked up more points recently compared to Bunyaruguru.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 18%
Bunyaruguru Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Bunyaruguru
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Big League
Bunyaruguru vs Iganga United
2:0
Jan 1, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Bunyaruguru
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 38 / 100
Bunyaruguru 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Bunyaruguru

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bunyaruguru or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iganga United attacking → ← attacking Bunyaruguru

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iganga United scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Bunyaruguru let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Iganga United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bunyaruguru lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 43
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717