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Iganga United vs Onduparaka Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Big League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League 2025/2026 game between Iganga United and Onduparaka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iganga United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Iganga United
30%
Draws
23%
Onduparaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iganga United come out ahead of Onduparaka on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Iganga United taking it.
  • Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 20%
Onduparaka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Onduparaka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Onduparaka
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Big League
Onduparaka vs Iganga United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 85 / 100
Onduparaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Onduparaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Iganga United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Iganga United found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Iganga United VS Onduparaka
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iganga United

(Home)
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
Page 1 of 6

Onduparaka

(Away)
27 Sept
Kiyinda Boys
3 : 1
Onduparaka
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Paidha Black Angels
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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