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Iganga United vs Pakwach Young Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Big League game between Iganga United and Pakwach Young Stars finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iganga United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iganga United
15%
Draws
34%
Pakwach Young Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Iganga United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iganga United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 20%
Pakwach Young Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Pakwach Young Stars
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.96 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Big League
Iganga United vs Pakwach Young Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 49 / 100
Pakwach Young Stars 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Pakwach Young Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iganga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakwach Young Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 5 matches.

Iganga United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pakwach Young Stars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Iganga United's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Iganga United VS Pakwach Young Stars
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iganga United

(Home)
11 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
SC Volcanoes
04 Oct
Rwenzori Lions
1 : 0
Iganga United
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
Page 1 of 6

Pakwach Young Stars

(Away)
11 Oct
Kiyinda Boys
2 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
04 Oct
Pakwach Young Stars
3 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
27 Sept
Iganga United
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
13 Apr
Pajule Lions
1 : 0
Pakwach Young Stars
07 Mar
Dove
0 : 1
Pakwach Young Stars

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
2 Kiyinda Boys 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Catda 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
4 SC Volcanoes 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
5 Amus College FC 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
6 Young Elephant Academy 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 Calvary 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 Pakwach Young Stars 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
9 Rwenzori Lions 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
10 Iganga United 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
11 Buwambo United 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Onduparaka 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
13 Kaaro Karungi 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)