Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Zucco E.
62'
62'
Cicirello G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- ACR Messina haven't matched Igea Virtus's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Igea Virtus's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 19%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Igea Virtus | ACR Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs ACR Messina
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Igea Virtus
1:0
Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Igea Virtus
3:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs ACR Messina
3:0
Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs ACR Messina
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Igea Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Cicirello G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
ACR Messina Compare
Top Goalscorer Zucco E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Igea Virtus 42 / 100
ACR Messina 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Igea Virtus ACR Messina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Igea Virtus scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: ACR Messina conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Igea Virtus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Igea Virtus VS ACR Messina
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Igea Virtus
(Home) 16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2 Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1 Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1 Vibonese
29 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 2 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 3
ACR Messina
(Away) 10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0 Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 7
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
02 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0 ACR Messina
22 Mar
Vibonese
0 : 0 ACR Messina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
