Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Gela

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Samake B.
56' Event
Maltese S.
90' Event
Samake B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Igea Virtus and Gela finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Igea Virtus
30%
Draws
23%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Igea Virtus come out ahead of Gela on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
Gela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Gela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Gela
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Igea Virtus
1:2
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Gela
0:0
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Igea Virtus
1:1
Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Gela
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maltese S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gela Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 32 / 100
Gela 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gela let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Igea Virtus scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Gela has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Gela
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
USD Ragusa
1 : 0
Igea Virtus
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Gela

(Away)
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
Castrumfavara
3 : 1
Gela
12 Apr
Gela
0 : 0
Reggina
02 Apr
Nissa
1 : 0
Gela
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)