Sport Picks
Igea Virtus vs Lamezia Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Samake B.
67'
67'
Pussetto A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lamezia haven't matched Igea Virtus's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Igea Virtus's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 13%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Igea Virtus | Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
2:2
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
4:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Lamezia
1:1
Apr 19, 2009 Serie C2/C
Lamezia vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Nov 23, 2008 Serie C2/C
Igea Virtus vs Lamezia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Igea Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Lamezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Pussetto A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Igea Virtus 84 / 100
Lamezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Igea Virtus Lamezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Igea Virtus scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Lamezia conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Igea Virtus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Igea Virtus VS Lamezia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Igea Virtus
(Home) 27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0 Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3 Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2 Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2 Calcio Avola
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1 Vibonese
29 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 2 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 3
Lamezia
(Away) 27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1 Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3 Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2 Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1 Lamezia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1 Lamezia
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1 Lamezia
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1 Lamezia
15 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 0 Lamezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
