Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Nissa Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Di Grazia A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Igea Virtus
20%
Draws
33%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nissa have won more games recently than Igea Virtus.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Igea Virtus taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Nissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Nissa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.53 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nissa
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Igea Virtus
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nissa
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Igea Virtus
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nissa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igea Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Grazia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 59 / 100
Nissa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igea Virtus scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Igea Virtus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nissa conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Nissa
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2
Calcio Avola
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Nissa

(Away)
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 5 5 0 0 15:0 15
2 Sambiase 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Vibonese 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
4 Igea Virtus 5 3 1 1 13:10 10
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
6 Calcio Avola 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
7 Licata 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
8 Athletic Palermo 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9 Nissa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Milazzo 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
11 Siracusa 5 3 2 0 8:4 4
12 Castrumfavara 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
13 ASD Modica Calcio 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Gela 5 1 1 3 4:6 3
15 USD Ragusa 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Lamezia 5 0 2 3 5:13 2
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 0:12 1
18 Trapani 5 1 0 4 2:10 -2
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)