Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bruno Cosendey
45' Event
Ferrara V.
58' Event
Semenzin G.

AI Match Summary

Igea Virtus in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Igea Virtus
30%
Draws
39%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Igea Virtus have won more games recently than Vibonese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Igea Virtus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 12%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Vibonese
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
4:3
Apr 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Igea Virtus
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tumminelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Cosendey
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semenzin G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 30 / 100
Vibonese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Igea Virtus scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vibonese has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Igea Virtus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Vibonese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 2
Calcio Avola
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
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Vibonese

(Away)
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 4 4 0 0 13:0 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 3 1 0 13:8 10
3 Sambiase 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
4 Vibonese 4 2 1 1 11:5 7
5 Nissa 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 1 3 0 7:2 6
7 Milazzo 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
8 Calcio Avola 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
9 Licata 4 1 2 1 3:7 5
10 Castrumfavara 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
11 ASD Modica Calcio 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Athletic Palermo 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Gela 4 1 1 2 4:5 3
14 USD Ragusa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
15 Lamezia 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Siracusa 4 2 2 0 7:4 1
17 Enna 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
18 Trapani 4 0 0 4 1:10 -5
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)