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Igilik vs Kaisar Kyzylorda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Sidorenko K.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Diallo A.
82' Event
Altynbekov E.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Igilik and Kaisar Kyzylorda finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaisar Kyzylorda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Igilik
15%
Draws
34%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaisar Kyzylorda come out ahead of Igilik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kaisar Kyzylorda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Igilik Clean Sheet 20%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Kaisar Kyzylorda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:4
Apr 30, 2022 First League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Igilik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altynbekov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 24 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Kaisar Kyzylorda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaisar Kyzylorda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaisar Kyzylorda has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Kaisar Kyzylorda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Igilik scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Igilik

(Home)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)