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Ikorodu City vs Ranchers Bees Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Okorie C.
15'
19'

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Ikorodu City and Ranchers Bees finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ikorodu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ikorodu City
35%
Draws
35%
Ranchers Bees
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ikorodu City come out ahead of Ranchers Bees on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ikorodu City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ikorodu City Clean Sheet 18%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ikorodu City Ranchers Bees
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPFL
Ikorodu City vs Ranchers Bees
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ikorodu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Azimi U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayodeji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ranchers Bees Compare

Top Goalscorer Okorie C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ikorodu City 85 / 100
Ranchers Bees 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ikorodu City Ranchers Bees

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ikorodu City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ikorodu City scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ranchers Bees conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ikorodu City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ikorodu City VS Ranchers Bees
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ikorodu City

(Home)
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0
Ikorodu City
27 Sept
Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Rangers International
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ikorodu City
0 : 0
Barau
13 Sept
Abia Warriors
2 : 2
Ikorodu City
Page 1 of 6

Ranchers Bees

(Away)
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Rivers United
23 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
07 Sept
Ranchers Bees
4 : 0
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barau 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Rivers United 5 3 2 0 10:1 11
3 Plateau United 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Rangers International 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
5 Doma United 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
6 Kano Pillars 5 2 3 0 10:6 9
7 Bendel 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
8 Ikorodu City 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
9 Abia Warriors 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
10 Kwara 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
11 Ranchers Bees 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
12 Sporting Lagos 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
13 Warri Wolves 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
14 Nasarawa United 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Katsina Utd 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
16 Shooting 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
17 Niger Tornadoes 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
18 Kun Khalifa 6 1 2 3 5:13 5
19 Inter Lagos 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
20 Enyimba International 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)