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IL Express vs Eik-Tonsberg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Thelle L.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Danielsen H.
45' Event
Myrbakk J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2022 game between IL Express and Eik-Tonsberg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eik-Tonsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
IL Express
15%
Draws
0%
Eik-Tonsberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IL Express

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • IL Express haven't matched Eik-Tonsberg's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on IL Express taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
IL Express Clean Sheet 20%
Eik-Tonsberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IL Express Eik-Tonsberg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.72 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
IL Express vs Eik-Tonsberg
1:3
Apr 30, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
Eik-Tonsberg vs IL Express
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IL Express Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Eik-Tonsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Danielsen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myrbakk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IL Express 49 / 100
Eik-Tonsberg 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IL Express Eik-Tonsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IL Express Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eik-Tonsberg conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Eik-Tonsberg's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

IL Express scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eik-Tonsberg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IL Express

(Home)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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Eik-Tonsberg

(Away)
22 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 4
Honefoss
15 Aug
Mjondalen
2 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
09 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 1
Traeff
02 Aug
Vidar
4 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
25 Jul
Eik-Tonsberg
5 : 6
Sandviken
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