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IL Express vs Jerv 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between IL Express and Jerv 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IL Express.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IL Express
15%
Draws
34%
Jerv 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IL Express

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IL Express come out ahead of Jerv 2 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on IL Express taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
IL Express Clean Sheet 17%
Jerv 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IL Express Jerv 2
Matches Played 37 25
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.46 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
IL Express vs Jerv 2
4:0
Jun 20, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Jerv 2 vs IL Express
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IL Express 84 / 100
Jerv 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IL Express Jerv 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IL Express Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv 2 let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

IL Express scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Jerv 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IL Express VS Jerv 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

IL Express

(Home)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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Jerv 2

(Away)
28 Feb
Jerv 2
1 : 6
Mandalskameratene
22 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 3
Madla IL
15 Oct
IL Express
4 : 0
Jerv 2
08 Oct
Jerv 2
2 : 1
Viking 2
03 Oct
Eiger
2 : 2
Jerv 2
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