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IL Express vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mjekiqi A.
41' Event
Syvertsen P.
89'
Konte A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2022 game between IL Express and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
IL Express
15%
Draws
57%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sarpsborg 08 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
IL Express Clean Sheet 17%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IL Express Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 5 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.17 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.72 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
IL Express vs Sarpsborg 08 2
1:1
Jun 11, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs IL Express
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IL Express Compare

Top Goalscorer Syvertsen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mjekiqi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IL Express 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IL Express Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarpsborg 08 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

IL Express scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: IL Express stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarpsborg 08 2
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IL Express

(Home)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
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