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Ilanka Rzepin vs Piast Zmigrod

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2015/2016 game between Ilanka Rzepin and Piast Zmigrod finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piast Zmigrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ilanka Rzepin
6%
Draws
90%
Piast Zmigrod
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Piast Zmigrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Piast Zmigrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Piast Zmigrod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ilanka Rzepin Clean Sheet 10%
Piast Zmigrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilanka Rzepin Piast Zmigrod
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 8.33 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 8.33 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2016 III Liga - Group III
Ilanka Rzepin vs Piast Zmigrod
1:3
Oct 31, 2015 III Liga - Group III
Piast Zmigrod vs Ilanka Rzepin
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilanka Rzepin 10 / 100
Piast Zmigrod 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilanka Rzepin Piast Zmigrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZMI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Piast Zmigrod conceded in 82% of 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Piast Zmigrod registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ilanka Rzepin's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ilanka Rzepin VS Piast Zmigrod
0 Goals Scored 1
8.33 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polkowice34253688:3978
2Gornik Walbrzych34253674:2578
3Sleza Wroclaw34198771:3565
4Legnica II34197886:4364
5Lechia Dzierzoniow342031154:4063
6Slask Wroclaw II34196974:4263
7Piast Zmigrod341831360:4657
8Formacja Port 2000 Mostki341821471:5056
9Stilon Gorzow341671155:3855
10Zaglebie II341661278:3954
11LKS Blyskawica Gac341391251:4548
12Ilanka Rzepin341341753:7543
13Polonia Swidnica341261647:5342
14Piast Karnin34891736:6133
15Karkonosze Jelenia Gora34862041:7430
16Budowlani Lubsko34532632:10918
17Katy Wroclawskie34282420:10114
18Rokita Brzeg Dolny34152816:928