Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilbirs vs Alay Osh

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gevlych T.
66' Event
Ismoilov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ilbirs
6%
Draws
90%
Alay Osh
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alay Osh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilbirs haven't matched Alay Osh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alay Osh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alay Osh have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 15%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilbirs Alay Osh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Alay Osh
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Alay Osh
1:4
May 1, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Ilbirs
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Ilbirs
1:0
Aug 16, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Ilbirs
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Gevlych T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Alay Osh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismoilov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilbirs 10 / 100
Alay Osh 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilbirs Alay Osh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilbirs found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Alay Osh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ilbirs remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilbirs VS Alay Osh
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344