Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilbirs vs Alga Bishkek

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Khomutov V.
78' Event
Isakov A.
85'
Samuel A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ilbirs
6%
Draws
90%
Alga Bishkek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alga Bishkek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alga Bishkek have won more games recently than Ilbirs.
  • Win probability leans Alga Bishkek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%
Alga Bishkek Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilbirs Alga Bishkek
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Alga Bishkek
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Alga Bishkek
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Ilbirs
2:1
Oct 24, 2024 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Alga Bishkek
1:0
Aug 21, 2024 Premier Liga
Alga Bishkek vs Ilbirs
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Isakov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Alga Bishkek Compare

Top Goalscorer Khomutov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilbirs 10 / 100
Alga Bishkek 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilbirs Alga Bishkek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilbirs found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Alga Bishkek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ilbirs stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilbirs VS Alga Bishkek
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilbirs

(Home)
10 Jul
Ilbirs
0 : 1
Ozgon
06 Jul
Bars
4 : 1
Ilbirs
01 Jul
Aldier
5 : 1
Ilbirs
20 Jun
Ilbirs
0 : 0
Talant
13 Jun
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 1
Ilbirs
Page 1 of 6

Alga Bishkek

(Away)
08 Jul
Alga Bishkek
1 : 1
Dordoi Bishkek
03 Jul
Abdysh-Ata Kant
0 : 1
Alga Bishkek
23 Jun
Alga Bishkek
3 : 1
Bars
13 Jun
Muras United
1 : 3
Alga Bishkek
27 May
Alga Bishkek
3 : 1
Bishkek City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1684421:1728
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul16411115:2813
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)