Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilicitano vs CF Fuenlabrada

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fernandez I.
15' Event
Fernandez I.
43' Event
Piera J.

AI Match Summary

CF Fuenlabrada in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Fuenlabrada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ilicitano
30%
Draws
23%
CF Fuenlabrada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ilicitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilicitano lately — more wins on the board than CF Fuenlabrada.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ilicitano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 68%
CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilicitano CF Fuenlabrada
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs CF Fuenlabrada
2:3
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Fuenlabrada vs Ilicitano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Piera J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konare U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CF Fuenlabrada Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 59 / 100
CF Fuenlabrada 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilicitano CF Fuenlabrada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilicitano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

CF Fuenlabrada let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ilicitano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS CF Fuenlabrada
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilicitano

(Home)
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
19 Aug
Ilicitano
2 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
Page 1 of 6

CF Fuenlabrada

(Away)
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
CF Fuenlabrada
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)