Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilicitano vs Conquense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gonzalez E.
15' Event
Houary A.
16' Event
Salvador N.

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilicitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ilicitano
30%
Draws
34%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ilicitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilicitano haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ilicitano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 68%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilicitano Conquense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Ilicitano
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Conquense
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Houary A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salvador N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 46 / 100
Conquense 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilicitano Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Ilicitano's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Conquense has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Ilicitano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS Conquense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilicitano

(Home)
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0
Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Ilicitano
04 Apr
Ilicitano
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 6

Conquense

(Away)
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Conquense
03 May
Real Madrid C
0 : 1
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)