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Stadium Background

Ilicitano vs Quintanar del Rey

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
de la Fuente Cachetas B.
43' Event
Gonpi O.
70' Event
Fita R.

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano host Quintanar del Rey in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ilicitano at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; Quintanar del Rey at 1.38 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Ilicitano slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Quintanar del Rey to edge this. Quintanar del Rey in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ilicitano
33%
Draws
40%
Quintanar del Rey
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Quintanar del Rey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Quintanar del Rey has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ilicitano.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Quintanar del Rey.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 16%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilicitano Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Quintanar del Rey
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Quintanar del Rey vs Ilicitano
0:0
Aug 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Quintanar del Rey vs Ilicitano
3:4
Jan 20, 2016 Copa Federacion
Ilicitano vs Quintanar del Rey
2:0
Jan 6, 2016 Copa Federacion
Quintanar del Rey vs Ilicitano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Fuente Cachetas B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonpi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 28 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilicitano Quintanar del Rey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Quintanar del Rey let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ilicitano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Quintanar del Rey lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS Quintanar del Rey
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330