Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilicitano vs Rayo Vallecano B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Fernandez D.
42' Event
Castellon S.
63' Event
Choco

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Ilicitano and Rayo Vallecano B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilicitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ilicitano
17%
Draws
13%
Rayo Vallecano B
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ilicitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilicitano come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano B on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ilicitano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilicitano Rayo Vallecano B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B vs Ilicitano
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Choco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 67 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilicitano Rayo Vallecano B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilicitano scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Rayo Vallecano B has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Rayo Vallecano B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS Rayo Vallecano B
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilicitano

(Home)
05 Aug
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
Ilicitano
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0
Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Vallecano B

(Away)
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 2
Socuellamos
19 Apr
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 1
CF Intercity
04 Apr
Ilicitano
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)