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Stadium Background

Ilioupoli vs Kalamata

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Ilioupoli Municipal Stadium, Ilioupoli
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pamlidis G.
(Penalty)
34' Event
Pamlidis G.
85' Event
Mantzis V.

AI Match Summary

Kalamata in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalamata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ilioupoli
35%
Draws
56%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kalamata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalamata lately — more wins on the board than Ilioupoli.
  • Kalamata are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kalamata here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 14%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilioupoli Kalamata
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.58 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Kalamata
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Ilioupoli
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Kalamata
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Ilioupoli
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Ilioupoli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilioupoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.27

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Pamlidis G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mantzis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilioupoli 15 / 100
Kalamata 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilioupoli Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalamata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ilioupoli found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Kalamata let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Ilioupoli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilioupoli VS Kalamata
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilioupoli

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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Kalamata

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)