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Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kone B.
90' Event
Kreci O.
90'
Nikoletopoulos N.

AI Match Summary

Ilioupoli in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilioupoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ilioupoli
30%
Draws
58%
Panargiakos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panargiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilioupoli have won more games recently than Panargiakos.
  • Panargiakos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 27%
Panargiakos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilioupoli Panargiakos
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 1
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.58 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ilioupoli
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Super League 2
Panargiakos vs Ilioupoli
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs Panargiakos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilioupoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kreci O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Panargiakos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilioupoli 22 / 100
Panargiakos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilioupoli Panargiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panargiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Panargiakos conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ilioupoli's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ilioupoli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilioupoli VS Panargiakos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilioupoli

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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Panargiakos

(Away)
25 Apr
Panargiakos
0 : 1
Ellas Syrou
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
Panargiakos
29 Mar
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
2 : 0
Panargiakos
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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