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Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs AF Luftetari

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Diamanti G.
50' Event
Ziaj A.
64' Event
Fofana M.

AI Match Summary

AF Luftetari in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Luftetari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Iliria Kruja
20%
Draws
48%
AF Luftetari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iliria Kruja lately — more wins on the board than AF Luftetari.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 17%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja AF Luftetari
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs AF Luftetari
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs AF Luftetari
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Iliria Kruja
1:2
Apr 15, 2012 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs AF Luftetari
2:3
Nov 19, 2011 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Iliria Kruja
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Diamanti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ziaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 31 / 100
AF Luftetari 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja AF Luftetari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Luftetari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Iliria Kruja found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS AF Luftetari
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
03 May
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

AF Luftetari

(Away)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)