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Iliria Kruja vs Burreli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja host Burreli in the Kategoria e Parë. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Iliria Kruja at 1.07 goals for, 1.07 against; Burreli at 0.9 for, 1.42 against. Head-to-head, Iliria Kruja have won 1 to Burreli's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward Iliria Kruja. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Iliria Kruja
35%
Draws
23%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Iliria Kruja have won more games recently than Burreli.
  • Iliria Kruja are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 20%
Burreli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Burreli
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Iliria Kruja
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Iliria Kruja
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Burreli
2:2
Apr 27, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Burreli
1:0
Mar 17, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Iliria Kruja
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 67 / 100
Burreli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Iliria Kruja scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Burreli has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Burreli
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
07 Oct
Burreli
2 : 3
Eagle FA
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)