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Iliria Kruja vs Flamurtari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja host Flamurtari in the Kategoria e Parë. Little to choose between these two on current form. Iliria Kruja have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Flamurtari's 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Iliria Kruja have won 1 to Flamurtari's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2016, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Iliria Kruja. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Iliria Kruja
30%
Draws
39%
Flamurtari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flamurtari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Flamurtari at 1.5 per game, Iliria Kruja at 1.03.
  • Model gives Flamurtari a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 17%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Flamurtari
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2016 Albanian Cup
Flamurtari vs Iliria Kruja
6:0
Sep 28, 2016 Albanian Cup
Iliria Kruja vs Flamurtari
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 20 / 100
Flamurtari 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Flamurtari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamurtari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Iliria Kruja's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Flamurtari let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Iliria Kruja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Flamurtari
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
17 Oct
Iliria Kruja
1 : 0
Burreli
11 Oct
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Iliria Kruja
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
Page 1 of 6

Flamurtari

(Away)
16 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 4
Flamurtari
10 Oct
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Sopoti Librazhd
06 Oct
Flamurtari
4 : 1
Gramshi
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Besa Kavaje 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Bylis 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
4 Flamurtari 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
5 Kukesi 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Iliria Kruja 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Beselidhja Lezha 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
8 Kastrioti 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Korabi Peshkopi 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
10 Burreli 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
11 Sopoti Librazhd 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 KF Oriku 6 0 0 6 2:15 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)