Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs Pogradeci

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Iliria Kruja and Pogradeci finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iliria Kruja
35%
Draws
37%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Iliria Kruja on wins alone.
  • Iliria Kruja are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 20%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Pogradeci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Pogradeci
0:0
Mar 18, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Iliria Kruja
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Iliria Kruja
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Pogradeci
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Pogradeci
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 42 / 100
Pogradeci 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pogradeci conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Pogradeci
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

Pogradeci

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)