Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Hoti D.
63' Event
Grlic N.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Urrutia A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Ilirija and Jadran Dekani finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ilirija
20%
Draws
38%
Jadran Dekani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija haven't matched Jadran Dekani's recent run of results.
  • Ilirija are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 16%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Jadran Dekani
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jadran Dekani
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Ilirija
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jadran Dekani Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silajdzic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 41 / 100
Jadran Dekani 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Jadran Dekani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilirija scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Jadran Dekani let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jadran Dekani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Jadran Dekani
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
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Jadran Dekani

(Away)
16 Jul
Rijeka
2 : 0
Jadran Dekani
08 Jul
Jadran Dekani
0 : 1
FC Bihor
02 Jul
Jadran Dekani
0 : 4
Campionii Arges
23 May
Jadran Dekani
4 : 3
NK Krka
15 May
Rudar
2 : 2
Jadran Dekani
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)