Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilkeston vs Kempston

England England

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ilkeston advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ilkeston
15%
Draws
64%
Kempston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kempston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kempston haven't matched Ilkeston's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kempston's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ilkeston have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ilkeston, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 20%
Kempston Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Kempston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Ilkeston vs Kempston
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 10 / 100
Kempston 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Kempston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kempston has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Ilkeston's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Kempston has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Quorn
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0
Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1
Ilkeston
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

Kempston

(Away)
09 Sept
Leighton Town
3 : 1
Kempston
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Kempston
1 : 2
Bedford
25 Jul
Crawley Green
2 : 3
Kempston
20 Jul
Wellingborough
3 : 2
Kempston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunston -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trafford -
Sheffield FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Marine 3
TBD -
Mossley AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
TBD -
TBD -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington -
South Shields -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Colne -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Biggleswade FC 1
TBD -
Carlton Town -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Kempston -
Yaxley -
TBD -
TBD -
Chasetown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo -
TBD -
Market Drayton 0
Bury Town 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dereham -
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Soham 0
Corby 3
TBD -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United -
TBD -
TBD -
Neots -
Worksop -
TBD -
Ossett United 0
Ramsbottom Utd 2
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daventry -
TBD -
Cambridge City 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Romania -
Hullbridge 0
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Whitstable Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Marlow -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chipstead -
TBD -
South Park 0
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
TBD -
Ashford United -
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham -
TBD -
TBD -
Hertford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Coggeshall Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 2
Basildon 1
TBD -
Heybridge -
FC Witham Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey 3
Staines 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Sudbury 1
Barking 2
TBD -
Harlow -
Sittingbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VCD Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Herne Bay -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
TBD -
Romford -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Barton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Great Wakering 1
TBD -
Westfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevenoaks -
Mangotsfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Kidlington -
TBD -
TBD -
Didcot -
Thame United -
TBD -
Cirencester 2
Paulton Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
TBD -
TBD -
Wantage -
Thatcham -
TBD -
Melksham 3
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larkhall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town -
Highworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bideford -
TBD -
TBD -
Slimbridge -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Stocksbridge 0
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal 1
Brighouse Town 0
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Dunston 0
Clitheroe 1
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town 1
Trafford 0
Sheffield FC 2
Runcorn Linnets 3
Marine 5
Mossley AFC 0
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 4
South Shields -
TBD -
Widnes FC 3
Colne 4
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town 3
Belper Town 2
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Carlton Town 0
Histon 1
Leek Town 2
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Coleshill Town 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
Ilkeston 2
Kempston 1
Yaxley -
Chasetown -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bury Town 0
Spalding United 0
Bedford 1
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Dereham 3
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
Stamford 2
Lincoln Utd. 1
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Corby 1
Halesowen 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United 1
Neots 4
Worksop 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
Daventry 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Grays 1
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings 3
Romania 0
Ashford Town 1
Whitstable Town 0
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill 2
Ware 0
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports 0
Marlow 2
Chertsey Town 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Needham Market -
TBD -
Chipstead 1
Three Bridges 2
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Ashford United 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham 4
Hertford Town 1
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports 0
Coggeshall Town 1
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
Northwood 3
Heybridge 4
Hanwell Town 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge 2
Waltham Abbey 1
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Canvey Island -
Barking 1
Harlow 0
Sittingbourne 1
East Grinstead Town 0
Stortford -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Chichester City 2
Hitchin -
TBD -
VCD Athletic 1
Herne Bay 2
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Romford 0
Whitehawk 2
Barton 1
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United 3
Tilbury 2
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
Whyteleafe 1
Cray Valley 0
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Haywards Heath 1
Welwyn Garden 4
Felixstowe & Walton 5
Westfield 0
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town 2
Sevenoaks 0
Mangotsfield 1
Cinderford Town 2
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields 2
Basingstoke 1
Kidlington 2
Didcot 1
Thame United 4
Cirencester 1
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing 0
Wantage 2
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Larkhall 5
Barnstaple Town 0
Highworth 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
Bideford 3
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
United of Manchester 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
City Of Liverpool 3
Hyde 2
Frickley 1
Warrington Town 2
Lancaster 1
Brighouse Town 0
Buxton 2
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 0
Radcliffe 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Witton Albion 3
Pickering Town 1
Runcorn Linnets 4
Marine 3
Stalybridge 2
Glossop North End 0
Workington 1
South Shields 1
Colne 0
Morpeth 3
Whitby 1
Newcastle Town 0
Nuneaton 2
Evesham 3
Leek Town 2
Redditch 2
Nantwich 3
Tamworth 2
Banbury 1
Bromsgrove 0
Coleshill Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Ilkeston 0
Yaxley 0
Grantham Town 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bedford 3
Rushall 4
Barwell 1
Mickleover 5
Dereham 0
Coalville Town 3
Matlock 4
Peterborough Sports 4
Gainsborough 2
Stourbridge 0
Stamford 3
Basford Utd. 2
Alvechurch 1
Corby 1
Hednesford 2
Neots 6
Worksop 1
St Ives Town 2
Stafford 1
Stratford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Kingstonian 2
Hastings 2
Ashford Town 1
Leiston 5
Worthing FC 4
Burgess Hill 4
Harrow Borough 1
Marlow 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 4
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hornchurch 3
Royston Town 2
Hythe 0
East Thurrock Utd 3
Cheshunt 4
Faversham 1
Haringey Borough 2
Walton Casuals 2
Folkestone 1
Merstham 1
Carshalton 3
Coggeshall Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Kings Langley 4
Brightlingsea 1
Lowestoft 3
Lewes 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Heybridge 0
Aveley 3
Beaconsfield Town 0
Uxbridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield Town 8
Ramsgate 1
Barking 2
Sittingbourne 1
Stortford 3
Brentwood 2
Hitchin 3
Herne Bay 1
Bognor Regis 2
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Whitehawk 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Aylesbury United 2
Margate 4
Leatherhead 3
Potters 1
Chesham 3
Whyteleafe 2
Horsham FC 1
Welwyn Garden 2
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Corinthian-Casuals 5
Hendon 4
Frome Town 3
Farnborough 0
Taunton Town 2
Truro 4
Bracknell Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Dorchester 2
Gosport Borough 1
Moneyfields 3
Kidlington 2
Thame United 3
Wimborne 0
Salisbury 6
Tiverton 0
Wantage 1
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney 1
Poole Town 4
Weston-super-Mare 2
Larkhall 1
Highworth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Yate -
Bideford -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -