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Ilkeston vs Redcar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilkeston host Redcar Athletic in the NPL Premier Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ilkeston have averaged 1 scored and 1.78 conceded recently, against Redcar Athletic's 1.47 scored and 1.42 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.69 - 2.00) back Redcar Athletic to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilkeston
15%
Draws
85%
Redcar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Redcar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Redcar Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Ilkeston.
  • Model gives Redcar Athletic a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Redcar Athletic
Matches Played 27 19
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 26 / 100
Redcar Athletic 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Redcar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Redcar Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilkeston scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Redcar Athletic conceded in 58% of 19 recent games.

Redcar Athletic lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Redcar Athletic
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3
Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Quorn
Page 1 of 6

Redcar Athletic

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
12 Sept
Redcar Athletic
3 : 2
Leek Town
05 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 0
Stocksbridge
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 10 6 1 3 22:11 19
5 Workington 10 6 1 3 20:16 19
6 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
7 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
8 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
9 Warrington Rylands 10 5 1 4 13:13 16
10 Alfreton 10 5 0 5 16:10 15
11 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
12 Lancaster 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
13 Whitby 10 4 0 6 15:26 12
14 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
15 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
16 AFC Emley 10 2 4 4 9:18 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
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