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Ilkeston vs Warrington Rylands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Wood H.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Ilkeston and Warrington Rylands finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Rylands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilkeston
15%
Draws
85%
Warrington Rylands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Rylands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Warrington Rylands come out ahead of Ilkeston on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Warrington Rylands's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Rylands Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Warrington Rylands
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Rylands
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Ilkeston
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Rylands
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Rylands
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Rylands vs Ilkeston
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilkeston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Warrington Rylands Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 18 / 100
Warrington Rylands 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Warrington Rylands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrington Rylands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilkeston's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Warrington Rylands let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Warrington Rylands's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Warrington Rylands
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3
Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Warrington Rylands

(Away)
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
03 Oct
Warrington Rylands
4 : 1
AFC Emley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Stockton
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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