Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Sadiq Z.
57'
57'
Daly R.
76'
76'
Dwyer A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Ilkeston and Warrington Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Ilkeston carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Warrington Town a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Warrington Town here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilkeston | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Ilkeston
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Dwyer A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadiq Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilkeston 10 / 100
Warrington Town 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilkeston Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warrington Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Ilkeston scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ilkeston went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ilkeston VS Warrington Town
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilkeston
(Home) 12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0 Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
08 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 0 Stockton
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1 Basford Utd.
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 19 Sept
Warrington Town
3 : 0 South Liverpool
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
08 Sept
Warrington Town
4 : 0 Shildon
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
United of Manchester
4 : 1 Warrington Town
05 Sept
Shildon
2 : 2 Warrington Town
01 Sept
Leek Town
1 : 2 Warrington Town
22 Aug
Whitby
0 : 5 Warrington Town
18 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 2 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Warrington Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Hyde | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Lancaster | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 18 | Stockton | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 19 | Ilkeston | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 20 | Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 6 |
| 21 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
