Sport Picks
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
45'
45'
Sadiq Z.
57'
57'
Daly R.
76'
76'
Dwyer A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Ilkeston and Warrington Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warrington Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrington Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Warrington Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Warrington Town here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 14%
Warrington Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilkeston | Warrington Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Warrington Town
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Warrington Town vs Ilkeston
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Dwyer A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Warrington Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadiq Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilkeston 35 / 100
Warrington Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilkeston Warrington Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warrington Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ilkeston's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Warrington Town let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ilkeston went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ilkeston VS Warrington Town
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilkeston
(Home) 10 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0 Ilkeston
07 Nov
Leek Town
3 : 2 Ilkeston
31 Oct
Ilkeston
1 : 0 Hyde
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0 Avro
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Ilkeston
1 : 0 Hyde
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0 Avro
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5 Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 3
Warrington Town
(Away) 07 Nov
Avro
0 : 3 Warrington Town
03 Nov
Ashton United
0 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2 Warrington Town
24 Oct
Warrington Town
1 : 2 Gainsborough
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Avro
0 : 3 Warrington Town
03 Nov
Ashton United
0 : 1 Warrington Town
31 Oct
Quorn
3 : 2 Warrington Town
17 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 1 Warrington Town
13 Oct
Bamber Bridge
0 : 1 Warrington Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:19 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34:10 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 42:34 | 32 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 33:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23:25 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21:29 | 23 |
| 13 | Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 33:35 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:31 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 24:47 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Hyde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:32 | 18 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 34:39 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 13:38 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20:27 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:42 | 11 |
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