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Illertissen II vs SV Erlbach Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with SV Erlbach advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Illertissen II
22%
Draws
53%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Erlbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SV Erlbach are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • SV Erlbach arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SV Erlbach, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Illertissen II Clean Sheet 20%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen II SV Erlbach
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Illertissen II
1:0
Jun 2, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Illertissen II vs SV Erlbach
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen II 28 / 100
SV Erlbach 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen II SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Illertissen II's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Defensive concern: SV Erlbach conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Illertissen II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SV Erlbach
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Illertissen II

(Home)
07 Jun
SV Erlbach
1 : 0
Illertissen II
02 Jun
Illertissen II
0 : 2
SV Erlbach
30 May
Raisting
2 : 1
Illertissen II
27 May
Illertissen II
2 : 0
Raisting

SV Erlbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
1. FC Sand 4
Erlangen 0
Neudrossenfeld 3
Selbitz 3
Burglengenfeld 3
DJK Ammerthal 1
Ansbach 1
Bad Kotzting 3
Illertissen II 3
Raisting 2
Landshut 0
SV Erlbach 2
Final
1. FC Sand 7
Selbitz 1
Burglengenfeld 4
Bad Kotzting 2
Illertissen II 0
SV Erlbach 3