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Illertissen vs Aschaffenburg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kallo H.
75' Event
Baier B.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 game between Illertissen and Aschaffenburg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Illertissen
6%
Draws
4%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Illertissen come out ahead of Aschaffenburg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Illertissen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 20%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Illertissen Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Aschaffenburg
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen
1:1
May 9, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen
1:0
Oct 22, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs Aschaffenburg
1:0
May 3, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Aschaffenburg vs Illertissen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Illertissen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Aschaffenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baier B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Illertissen 85 / 100
Aschaffenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Illertissen Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Illertissen's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Aschaffenburg let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Illertissen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Illertissen VS Aschaffenburg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nurnberg II34245568:3577
2Wurzburger Kickers34229374:2575
3Unterhaching34224872:3070
4Illertissen34197872:4664
5Vilzing341561349:4451
6TSV Aubstadt3413101149:4549
7Vfb Eichstatt3412121048:3748
8Burghausen341381346:5047
9Ansbach341371454:6546
10Buchbach341371454:6946
11Bayern II341461461:5245
12Memmingen3410121243:4742
13Bayreuth349111436:5338
14Augsburg II34971837:4834
15TSV Schwaben Augsburg34971839:6034
16Furth II346101847:6028
17Aschaffenburg34682031:7126
18Hankofen-Hailing34582131:7423